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Improving#65 of 115 by 1M spread

TIPS vs the S&P 500 (TIP): is it outperforming?

Over the past month, TIP has outperformed the S&P 500 by 0.5 points. Here is where that puts it in the market rotation — updated daily.

1M spread vs SPY
+0.5 pts
Quadrant
Improving
Momentum
Weakening
RS health
Strong
Holdings P/E

Where TIP sits on the rotation map

TIPS highlighted against the 11 broad S&P 500 sectors. Vertical: 1-month spread vs the S&P 500. Horizontal: the longer, time-shifted window — the methodology explains the math.

TIP vs SPY: head-to-head returns

TIP (tips) and SPY (the S&P 500) side by side over every window Zensei tracks. The spread is the difference — positive means TIP won that window.

Window
TIP
SPY
Spread
1 week−0.4%−1.7%+1.2 pts
2 weeks−0.5%−1.0%+0.5 pts
1 month−0.4%−0.8%+0.5 pts
3 months−1.1%+4.5%−5.6 pts
6 months+0.1%+7.7%−7.6 pts
1 year+2.4%+17.7%−15.3 pts

Data as of 2026-07-23 · computed from daily adjusted closes · how we measure

The read

TIPS (TIP) has just turned the corner. Over the longer, time-shifted window it trailed the S&P 500 by 6.1 points, but over the past month it has moved narrowly ahead of the market — a 0.5-point edge that puts it in the improving quadrant. Ranked by one-month spread, it currently stands #65 of the 115 groups Zensei tracks.

On the shorter tape, TIP's momentum is weakening: the intraday trend that carried the move is cooling across the shorter windows. TIP's relative-strength line — its price ratio against the S&P 500 — is trading above its moving averages, the healthiest configuration we track. The longer trend remains healthier than the recent tape suggests — the kind of divergence worth rechecking in a week.

The thing to watch from here is confirmation: improving groups that hold a positive one-month spread long enough for the longer window to turn are the classic early-rotation entries — the ones that fail fall back quickly.

TIPS vs the market — common questions

Is tips outperforming the S&P 500?

Right now, yes: over the past month TIP has outperformed the S&P 500 by 0.5 points. This page updates daily, so the answer reflects current market data rather than a dated article.

What is TIP?

TIP is iShares TIPS Bond ETF, the fund Zensei uses to measure the tips group against the S&P 500 benchmark (SPY).

What quadrant is tips in right now?

As of the latest daily data, tips is in the improving quadrant — behind the market over the longer window, but ahead over the past month. The quadrant rules are documented on the Zensei methodology page.

Related sectors

Track tips against the whole market

Zensei Edge maps 100+ sectors and themes against the S&P 500 — with the stocks inside each one, rotation history and alerts when leadership changes hands.